UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. — As he prepares to graduate in May, James Rowley is completing an honors thesis focused on one of the most remote and rapidly changing places on Earth: Antarctica. A Penn State Schreyer Honors Scholar majoring in geography and economics with a certificate in geographic information science, Rowley is studying uncertainty in satellite estimates of Antarctic surface hydrology as an undergraduate research assistant in Penn State’s Cryosphere and Climate Lab, led by Luke Trusel, associate professor of geography.
The lab studies how polar ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland are responding to climate change using satellite observations, climate models and artificial intelligence (AI)-driven approaches. Rowley works with Trusel and geography doctoral student Mahsa Bahrami on research related to supraglacial lakes, pools of meltwater that form on the surface of Antarctic ice shelves during the austral summer. In his thesis, Rowley compares satellite-based algorithms used to detect those lakes across Antarctica and examines the sources and magnitude of uncertainty in those estimates.
“Understanding how many supraglacial lakes there are in Antarctica is important because they may help explain how quickly ice shelves collapse into the ocean,” Rowley said.
Rowley began his research through Penn State’s Undergraduate Research Opportunities Connection, or UROC, program during his second year. He started with data annotation work connected to Bahrami’s research and later used those annotations to help train a deep learning algorithm. That experience grew into his Schreyer thesis, which compares automatic supraglacial lake classification algorithms and examines sources of uncertainty in the results.
He said the project has underscored both the importance and difficulty of studying Antarctica.
“What I’ve learned over the past couple years is how difficult it is to say anything with certainty about Antarctica,” Rowley said. “It is huge, it is far away and there is still so much we do not know.”
That uncertainty is part of what makes the work meaningful. Scientists are still working to better understand how meltwater on ice shelves may contribute to instability and collapse, and improving the tools used to detect and compare supraglacial lakes can help strengthen that understanding, according to Rowley.